Archive for June 22nd, 2016

Rising finocracy concerns in Sri Lanka too!

June 22, 2016

An editor friend at Daily Mirror, Sri Lanka found the finocracy post interesting and relevant to SL.  Just like India, In Sri Lanka the term of the central bank governor is going to be over and there is lot of talk whether there will be reappointment or not.  Though, nothing really can surpass the noise and nuisance like India.

So he put up the post in the SL paper as well.

Didn’t realize that this arbitrarily created term  finocracy will strike chords across the shores as well..

Isn’t finocracy as big a case for crony capitalism?

June 22, 2016

The recent spate of events in India led to all kinds of fear mongering with most of it proven wrong. The finocracy had to soon lick their wounds but has not given the space completely. The articles keep coming over what India has lost which have no substance but mostly rhetoric. It is a pity to see such low standards from fairly eminent people. Is Indian economy just about one person?

Of all the articles this one on crony capitalism winning was both amusing and frustrating at the same time. These days crony capitalism has become the buzzword for all ills facing an economy. So let us define what it is.  Wikipedia defines it as:


Columbus will continue to recognise the landscape once discovered..

June 22, 2016

William F. Maloney and Felipe Valencia Caicedo have a superb piece on the topic.

How persistence is the linkage certain regions and economic fortunes? A lot perhaps. What were the most inhabited regions in 1492 continue to be the richest places today:


Premier Padmini’s everlasting contribution to Indian mobility..

June 22, 2016

This blog pointed to a brief history of the iconic Premier Padmini car popularly called as Fiat.

Here is another one by Arushi Vats of Scroll..


This Rs 2 device lets the blind ‘read’ Indian currency notes

June 22, 2016

Brilliant story showing how small frugal innovations make an important impact in people’s lives. That too in area of currency management which is seen as fiefdom of people manning the central banks.


How SEBI and FMC’s merger took a dozen years…

June 22, 2016

Superb article by Shaji Vikraman of Indian Express (HT Ajay Shah Blog).

How obvious things take so much time in India:

At an internal meeting in the Department of Economic Affairs in 2002, senior officials were discussing financial market reforms that could potentially follow the good deal of work done on the equity markets front starting from the mid-1990s. Finance Minister Jaswant Singh, who had moved into the Ministry from the External Affairs Ministry that year, was briefed by officials led by Finance Secretary S Narayan on the missing piece in the reforms process: integrating the separate equities and commodities segments of the financial markets. Singh was told that virtually no country had a fragmented market like India with one regulator supervising both segments of the market, except the US where again one regulator had oversight on spot markets, and another for the derivatives segment.

The rationale for a similar integration in India that was put forward was that fragmentation had an impact on costs, economies of scale, and the fact that brokers, investors and other participants were virtually the same. There was also the argument of the capacity of the regulator — in this case the Forward Markets Commission or FMC, which was not an independent regulator — being just an arm of the Department of Consumer Affairs, and without adequate capacity and resources to supervise a growing market segment. S Narayan and Wajahat Habibullah, Secretary in the Department of Consumer Affairs, then discussed this.

In May 2003, Singh wrote to his Cabinet colleague in charge of the Department of Consumer Affairs, Food and Public Distribution, Shanta Kumar, sounding him out on the idea of a convergence of markets, institutions and players in the backdrop of the major changes that were taking place in the Indian securities, and the commodity derivatives markets. That’s when an inter-ministerial group was formed to consider whether India should have a new regulatory architecture related to the financial markets.

A committee headed by Habibullah in its report of September 2003 suggested the possible merger of FMC with SEBI, saying the structure of the FMC, which was formed in 1953, was not fully suited to the challenges of an emerging market and needed to be overhauled. Options outlined by the committee included a unified entity brought about by a merger of SEBI and FMC with two separate divisions to regulate securities and commodities markets.

The committee also said that the Department of Economic Affairs was better equipped to handle this, as it dealt with the securities market — a rare instance of a government department showing a willingness to cede turf. But this would mean a change in business rules by the Cabinet to transfer the administrative responsibility of the FMC from the Ministry of Consumer Affairs to the Finance Ministry. A senior official in Consumer Affairs was assigned the job of working out the operational details of a potential merger, and the roadmap.

The plans of the NDA government went awry with defeat in the May 2004 polls….

Post 2004, the coalition politics took over and the issue was buried. It was revisited and completed only when the same party came which worked on it came to power..

The UPA government decided to pursue the proposal, however, and Finance Minister PChidambaram announced in the July 2004 Budget the decision to take steps to integrate the commodities market with the securities market as part of the initiative to make capital markets strong and attractive. But soon afterward, the proposal ran into huge resistance from Agriculture Minister Sharad Pawar who, at a meeting with the Finance Minister and other officials, made it clear that he thought the time wasn’t opportune. Given the challenge of countering a powerful minister like Pawar, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh asked C Rangarajan, who headed the Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC), to suggest a solution.

Rangarajan recommended that status quo should prevail, and the proposal for a unified regulator should be reviewed after three years. Which meant that the FMC would continue to report to the Department of Consumer Affairs. Over the next few years, volumes in the commodities market rose, attracting the attention of many players and investors. But even after three years passed, there wasn’t material difference.

The first trigger for change came in 2011, when during the Cabinet reshuffle, Pawar’s portfolio of Consumer Affairs was handed to a Minister with Independent Charge. The push came a little later, when the NSEL scam hit the headlines, exposing the manipulation in the commodities market, and the associated regulatory inadequacies.

By 2013, the Prime Minister had brought P Chidambaram back to the Finance Ministry and, that September, a decision was taken to transfer the administrative responsibilities relating to the commodities market to the Finance Ministry. Well before that, a committee on the financial sector headed by Justice Srikrishna too had recommended an unified regulator, subsuming the FMC into SEBI, which it said should oversee all financial markets — bonds, equities, commodities, insurance and pensions.

The final merger of FMC and SEBI came when Finance Minister Arun Jaitley announced it in his 2015 Budget. And though a grand plan worked out by the Finance Ministry during Secretary Rajiv Mehrishi’s time to ensure the transfer of the public debt management function from the RBI to the government, regulation of the bond markets by SEBI, and a unified regulator for commodities and equities through the Finance Bill, didn’t quite work out, the merger did happen. SEBI Chairman U K Sinha and FMC Chairman Ramesh Abhishek and their teams then worked on the last mile implementation, with a formal merger coming through in September 2015, 12 years after it was first proposed — a reflection both of the pace at which some of these changes happen, as well as of continuity.

Superb reading all the way.

These aspects of economics and finance are barely taught or discussed anywhere. If SEBI has been a silent performer, FMC is nowhere in the picture. The blogger recalls hearing FMC’s chairperson earlier who pointed on how they operated without any staff at all and keep getting inferior treatment from the polity but they kept doing its work.

How do we look at the institutional design of capital and commodity markets? The two baskets are inherently different given how each commodity has its own cycle. We always had trading in these markets historically but was more local and commodity specific. As things moved to exchanges we started to see different commodities influencing each other. Then with non-commodity players like banks etc entering the commodity market as well treating as an investment basket, the commodity market also began to be influenced by capital markets and vice-versa. A sudden failure of a crop/commodity led to volatility in not just the commodity market but also in stocks linked to the commodities as well.

This ongoing synergy required the commodity and capital market regulation space to be synergised as well. So the discussion which started 12 years ago has finally seen its completionall behind the scenes. If similar merger was done by the big brother we would be sick of reading it. But there is hardly anything on this which is quite important in its own ways.

Infact given how the global crisis has shows why all things moving together is dangerous, we should question the ongoing synergisation between commodity and capital markets. Perhaps we should look at continued dangers of such integration.

More research and discussion is needed on this fascinating topic..

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