US macreconomics news and the Global Financial Cycle

Christoph E. Boehm and T. Niklas Kroner in this Federal Reserve research shows hos US macroeconomic news imoacts global financial cycle:

We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using intraday data, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, the VIX, and commodity prices all jump instantaneously upon news releases. The responses of stock indexes co-move across countries and are large – often comparable in size to the response of the S&P 500. Further, US macroeconomic news explains on average 23 percent of the quarterly variation in foreign stock markets. The joint behavior of stock prices, bond yields, and risk premia suggests that systematic US monetary policy reactions to news do not drive the estimated effects. Instead, the evidence points to a direct effect on investor’ risk-taking capacity. Our findings show that a byproduct of the United States’ central position in the global financial system is that news about its business cycle has large effects on global financial conditions.


2 Responses to “US macreconomics news and the Global Financial Cycle”

  1. Aurélio Barbato Says:

    Reblogged this on Construção Reformas Obras Serviços Retrofit and commented:
    joyously surf the wave at the peak mainstream economics STAY IN THE LOOP

  2. Aurélio Barbato Says:

    Joyously surfing the wave at the peak mainstream economics STAY IN THE LOOP

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