Never mind the fact that RBI has shunned off forward guidance statement under the new regime. But worldwide if there is one thing which central bankers and c-bank watchers are increasingly talking, about it is forward guidance. I mean just talk..how can something else be better?
PIMCO’s Richard Clarida and Saumil H. Parikh have this interesting article on FG statement. There are three types:
- Forward guidance is an explicit communication by a central bank that provides information today about the timing for specific policy tools in the future.
- There are at least three types of forward guidance: calendar-based, outcome-based and optimal control. Forward guidance of any type is most potent if it can credibly convey a commitment today to bind the choices of future policymakers.
- Since 2011 the Fed has deployed both calendar-based and outcome-based guidance. We expect the Yellen Fed to enhance the current outcome-based guidance to convey more information about the timing and pace of policy moves.
I guess some bit of forward guidance is fine but this increasingly scientific way of guiding one is never sure..
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